Wednesday, February 21

Alex Gordon?

This year's uber prospect is one Mr. Alex Gordon. Can you guess which of the Alex Gordon's shown above is our stud prospect?

If you're talking about a stud with the ladies, then the gent with the scarf is your man. If you're talking baseball, it's the man in the middle.

Mr Gordon is a stud hitting prospect among stud hitting prospects. He was drafted #2 overall (behind Justin Upton) in the 2005 draft. This following a successful college career that saw him named Baseball America's College Player of the Year in 2005.

Alex had a unique first year as a professional, in that he started the season at Double A Witchita, and ended up playing a full season there. But what a season. In 579 plate appearances, he had 69 extra base hits (39 doubles, 1 triple, 29 HR), stole 22 of 25 bases, drove in 101 guys, and scored 111 times, posting a sick 1.015 OPS. (on a .325/.427/.588 line)

It's looking like he's going to break camp with the Royals so what can we expect from him? Well down the road, we can expect MVP awards probably, he's that good, probably the best third baseman prospect since Brandon Inge, err, I mean, Scott Rolen. I think his ceiling is much higher than Rolen..

For 2007 Gordon is already going to be a top 10 third baseman. PECOTA's 50% percentile projection for Alex, which is by no means a stretch goal, is a .281 average, with 88 runs scored, 13 SB, 25 HR, and 85 RBI. That'll help you in your league. PECOTA's Stars vs Scrubs chart for Gordon shows over a 50% likelihood of him performing at superstar level over the next several year.

Bottom line, Gordon will be a stud this year, the only AL third baseman I would take over him is ARod. Factoring in a keeper league scenario, and I'd still probably take ARod, but it gets even closer.

Grab him quick and enjoy the ride.

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